Nürnberg II vs Ingolstadt 04 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2016 |
VIK
1 - 0
NUR
28%
25%
47%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
UNT
1 - 1
NUR
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
NUR
3 - 1
GRE
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
MEM
0 - 1
NUR
28%
26%
46%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
NUR
1 - 0
BAY
44%
25%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Ingolstadt 04 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2016 |
ING
3 - 3
GRE
39%
25%
36%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
MEM
4 - 2
ING
37%
26%
37%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
ING
0 - 4
BAY
38%
25%
37%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -3 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
SCH
1 - 2
ING
29%
25%
47%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
ING
1 - 4
WAC
36%
26%
38%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |