Nürnberg II vs Hoffenheim II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
29.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
NUR
2 - 0
DJJ
84%
12%
5%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
RAI
2 - 1
NUR
18%
21%
61%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
WUR
1 - 1
NUR
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
NUR
1 - 0
AUB
59%
21%
20%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 5
NUR
21%
23%
56%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Hoffenheim II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
HOF
7 - 1
SCH
57%
21%
23%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2023 |
WAL
1 - 4
HOF
79%
15%
7%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
AST
0 - 1
HOF
31%
24%
46%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
HOF
3 - 1
OFC
28%
25%
47%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2022 |
HOF
0 - 2
BAL
56%
22%
22%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |