Nürnberg II vs FC Augsburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
35.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
186
4 - 2
NUR
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
NUR
1 - 3
SCH
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2014 |
BUC
0 - 0
NUR
48%
23%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2014 |
NUR
3 - 1
HEI
55%
22%
23%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2014 |
WAC
2 - 1
NUR
70%
19%
11%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
FC Augsburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
AUG
2 - 3
SCH
64%
21%
16%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
BAY
0 - 2
AUG
61%
22%
18%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
AUG
0 - 2
BAY
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 3
AUG
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
AUG
2 - 2
VRG
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |