Nuova Gioiese vs Licata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
22.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-59%
-80%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nuova Gioiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
NGI
2 - 3
BAT
58%
22%
21%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CMU
1 - 1
NGI
42%
24%
35%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
NGI
1 - 0
NOT
36%
26%
38%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
RAG
0 - 1
NGI
36%
24%
40%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
NGI
0 - 0
ORL
69%
18%
14%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Licata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
LIC
1 - 3
RAG
62%
20%
18%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
BAT
3 - 3
LIC
49%
23%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
LIC
2 - 2
USV
55%
23%
22%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
NOT
1 - 0
LIC
60%
22%
19%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
LIC
0 - 1
ASD
60%
22%
19%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |