Cosenza vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
26.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
REG
1 - 1
NUO
28%
28%
44%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
NUO
1 - 1
VIC
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
SAL
0 - 0
NUO
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
NUO
1 - 2
FRO
35%
30%
35%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
BRE
2 - 0
NUO
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
ASC
0 - 0
USC
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
PES
2 - 3
ASC
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
ASC
1 - 1
VNZ
28%
28%
44%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
ACD
0 - 0
ASC
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
ASC
0 - 2
PIS
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |