Numancia vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
36.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
NUM
1 - 0
HER
68%
21%
11%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
SPO
1 - 0
NUM
45%
27%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
NUM
2 - 0
CDT
55%
25%
20%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
CIU
0 - 1
NUM
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
XER
1 - 1
NUM
50%
26%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
VAD
1 - 0
CAS
74%
19%
8%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
ALM
2 - 1
VAD
34%
26%
41%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
VAD
1 - 0
RMC
65%
22%
13%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
MAL
2 - 1
VAD
26%
26%
47%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
VAD
0 - 1
REC
49%
27%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |