Numancia vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
47%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
VAD
2 - 0
NUM
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
NUM
1 - 0
OVI
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2000 |
NUM
1 - 2
BET
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
ALA
2 - 2
NUM
58%
24%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
NUM
2 - 0
ESP
38%
28%
35%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2000 |
SCH
0 - 1
VCF
27%
28%
46%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
VCF
4 - 0
MLL
71%
18%
11%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2000 |
VCF
2 - 1
OLP
76%
16%
9%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
RMA
2 - 1
VCF
55%
23%
22%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2000 |
VCF
4 - 1
TIR
76%
16%
8%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | +1 |