Numancia vs UD Las Palmas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
28.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
REC
1 - 1
NUM
46%
28%
26%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
NUM
4 - 0
GUA
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
VAD
2 - 1
NUM
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
NUM
1 - 0
ALM
25%
25%
50%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 1
NUM
51%
24%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
UD Las Palmas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
UDL
1 - 0
VAD
26%
26%
48%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
UDL
2 - 0
ALC
45%
28%
26%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ALM
1 - 1
UDL
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
UDL
1 - 1
ELC
32%
28%
41%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
CEL
1 - 2
UDL
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |