Numancia vs Tenerife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
24.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
EIB
1 - 1
NUM
35%
29%
37%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
NUM
7 - 0
CIU
67%
21%
12%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
CAD
2 - 0
NUM
24%
27%
49%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
LEG
0 - 2
NUM
35%
28%
37%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
NUM
2 - 0
ELC
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tenerife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
CDT
0 - 0
LEG
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
ELC
2 - 0
CDT
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
CDT
2 - 1
RAY
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
TER
1 - 1
CDT
29%
29%
42%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
CDT
0 - 1
POL
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |