Numancia vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
20.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
CDT
2 - 1
NUM
48%
26%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
NUM
1 - 1
CIU
62%
23%
16%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
HER
4 - 0
NUM
20%
28%
52%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
NUM
1 - 1
XER
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2005 |
AGU
1 - 1
NUM
19%
25%
57%
|
81 | 44 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
SPO
2 - 0
CAS
75%
18%
7%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
ALM
3 - 0
SPO
41%
28%
31%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
SPO
1 - 1
RMC
65%
21%
13%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
MAL
1 - 0
SPO
33%
28%
39%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
SPO
1 - 1
REC
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |