Numancia vs Arenas de Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.9%
Win probability
3.42
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.7%
6-0
4.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.8%
5-0
8.1%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.5%
4-0
11.9%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
16%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
6.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6.8%
2.3%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
UFC
0 - 1
NUM
19%
24%
58%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1966 |
NUM
3 - 0
ATL
88%
9%
4%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1966 |
ZAR
0 - 3
NUM
18%
23%
58%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
NUM
5 - 0
CDM
88%
9%
4%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
TER
2 - 1
NUM
30%
25%
46%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Arenas de Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1966 |
AND
4 - 0
AZA
89%
8%
3%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1966 |
AZA
2 - 3
CSE
63%
20%
17%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
BAR
2 - 0
AZA
70%
18%
12%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
AZA
3 - 2
CEE
73%
16%
11%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1966 |
CAS
1 - 0
AZA
48%
25%
27%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |