Numancia vs RCD Carabanchel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
29%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
24.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
SAL
3 - 1
NUM
68%
20%
12%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
NUM
1 - 1
MAN
45%
30%
25%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
ARG
3 - 1
NUM
81%
13%
6%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
NUM
1 - 0
SFN
68%
19%
14%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
BUR
3 - 0
NUM
86%
9%
5%
|
25 | 77 | 52 | 0 |
Matches
RCD Carabanchel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
CAR
1 - 1
LEG
65%
22%
13%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
CIE
1 - 0
CAR
42%
27%
31%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1978 |
RMC
1 - 0
CAR
92%
6%
2%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
CAR
5 - 1
ACF
70%
19%
11%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
TAL
2 - 0
CAR
55%
27%
18%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -2 |