Numancia vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
40.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
SPO
0 - 1
NUM
55%
25%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
NUM
1 - 0
ALB
43%
27%
31%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
NUM
3 - 1
LUG
53%
26%
21%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
PON
1 - 1
NUM
32%
29%
39%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
NUM
0 - 1
ZAR
35%
26%
39%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
RAY
1 - 1
CAD
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
LUG
1 - 0
RAY
23%
25%
51%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
RAY
1 - 3
PON
78%
15%
7%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
EXT
0 - 3
RAY
19%
25%
56%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
RAY
2 - 1
CDT
64%
21%
16%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |