Numancia vs Ponferradina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 1
NUM
43%
29%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
NUM
2 - 2
VAD
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MLL
0 - 0
NUM
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
NUM
0 - 1
ALA
56%
23%
22%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
NUM
0 - 0
ELC
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
PON
1 - 0
ATH
69%
20%
10%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CCF
1 - 0
PON
39%
29%
33%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 0
PON
37%
29%
34%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
ALC
0 - 1
PON
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
PON
3 - 0
VAD
35%
27%
39%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |