Numancia vs Osasuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
47.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
NUM
2 - 1
TER
54%
23%
23%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
ATL
2 - 2
NUM
63%
19%
18%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
NUM
1 - 1
CLH
76%
15%
9%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1968 |
TUD
6 - 1
NUM
80%
13%
7%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1968 |
NUM
4 - 0
AZA
95%
4%
1%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
OSA
2 - 1
AND
86%
10%
5%
|
51 | 22 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
TER
3 - 4
OSA
33%
25%
42%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
OSA
2 - 0
ATL
87%
9%
4%
|
51 | 24 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1968 |
CLH
0 - 2
OSA
26%
25%
49%
|
51 | 24 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1968 |
OSA
3 - 0
TUD
81%
12%
7%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |