Numancia vs AD Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.1%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
EJE
0 - 0
NUM
13%
24%
63%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
NUM
2 - 1
PXD
69%
21%
10%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
TER
1 - 1
NUM
13%
24%
63%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
NUM
2 - 0
CER
77%
16%
7%
|
64 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
RCD
1 - 0
NUM
27%
26%
47%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
AD Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CAD
0 - 2
MAD
34%
28%
38%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
MAD
0 - 0
XER
50%
27%
24%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
VEL
0 - 0
MAD
19%
25%
56%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
MAD
1 - 1
CEU
64%
22%
14%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
PAN
1 - 3
MAD
21%
25%
54%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |