Numancia vs CD Manchego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
13.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1980 |
SFN
1 - 1
NUM
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1980 |
ALC
1 - 0
NUM
68%
20%
13%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1980 |
NUM
4 - 0
TCF
76%
16%
8%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1980 |
NUM
5 - 1
SDT
66%
20%
14%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Dec. 1979 |
CDS
0 - 0
NUM
54%
24%
22%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1980 |
MAN
4 - 1
ALC
57%
27%
17%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1980 |
MAN
2 - 1
SDT
68%
20%
12%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1980 |
VAL
0 - 1
MAN
56%
25%
19%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1980 |
MAN
3 - 1
CPC
50%
30%
20%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |
| 30 Dec. 1979 |
VIL
0 - 0
MAN
57%
26%
17%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |