Numancia vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
19.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
ALC
0 - 1
NUM
31%
30%
40%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
NUM
2 - 1
CCF
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
GRA
1 - 0
NUM
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
NUM
2 - 0
CDT
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
FCB
2 - 2
NUM
39%
27%
33%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
LUG
0 - 1
OVI
38%
28%
34%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
GIM
3 - 0
LUG
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
LUG
0 - 0
VAD
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 1
ALC
49%
27%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CCF
1 - 0
LUG
45%
27%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |