Numancia vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
21.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
ALC
0 - 1
NUM
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
NUM
0 - 0
SPO
30%
26%
44%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
MUR
2 - 1
NUM
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
NUM
3 - 1
SAB
61%
23%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
CCF
3 - 1
NUM
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2013 |
UDL
3 - 0
HER
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
HER
0 - 0
EIB
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ALA
3 - 1
HER
36%
29%
35%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
HER
0 - 2
DEP
32%
27%
41%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
PON
5 - 1
HER
52%
26%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |