Numancia vs Gimnàstic Tarragona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
22.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
REU
1 - 1
NUM
28%
30%
43%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
GIM
1 - 0
NUM
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
NUM
1 - 1
ALC
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
OSA
1 - 0
NUM
51%
26%
24%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
GET
0 - 0
NUM
61%
24%
16%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnàstic Tarragona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 0
GIM
42%
30%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
GIM
1 - 0
NUM
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
GIM
1 - 1
LEV
30%
28%
43%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
HUE
1 - 1
GIM
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
GIM
2 - 2
LUG
51%
27%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |