Numancia vs Cádiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
VIL
1 - 0
NUM
29%
27%
43%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
NUM
3 - 0
BET
35%
27%
38%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2010 |
CAS
0 - 1
NUM
36%
28%
36%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
NUM
1 - 0
RUN
69%
20%
11%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
RAY
4 - 1
NUM
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cádiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
CAD
0 - 0
HUE
57%
25%
17%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
RSO
4 - 1
CAD
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
CAD
0 - 1
GIM
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
MUR
2 - 2
CAD
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
CAD
0 - 0
UDL
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |