Numancia vs Amurrio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
10.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
RUN
0 - 0
NUM
37%
29%
34%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1995 |
NUM
0 - 0
SSR
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1995 |
NUM
1 - 1
OSA
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
NUM
0 - 1
TUD
70%
20%
10%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1995 |
SSR
2 - 2
NUM
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Amurrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
AMU
1 - 1
AVI
37%
29%
34%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1995 |
CUL
1 - 2
AMU
63%
22%
15%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
AMU
1 - 2
LEM
48%
28%
25%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1995 |
UPL
2 - 0
AMU
70%
19%
11%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1995 |
AMU
2 - 2
OSA
41%
27%
32%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |