Numancia vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
28.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SPO
2 - 2
NUM
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
NUM
1 - 0
MUR
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
SAB
0 - 0
NUM
34%
27%
39%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
NUM
3 - 0
CCF
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
UDL
0 - 0
NUM
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
ALC
0 - 0
EIB
50%
28%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
ALA
1 - 0
ALC
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 2
DEP
34%
28%
38%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
PON
0 - 2
ALC
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 1
MLL
30%
27%
44%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |