Division de Honor Round 30

Numancia U19 vs Real Madrid U19 analysis

Numancia U19 Real Madrid U19
18 ELO 38
-2.6% Tilt 2.3%
12319º General ELO ranking 5137º
1483º Country ELO ranking 173º
ELO win probability
13.1%
Numancia U19
18.9%
Draw
68%
Real Madrid U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.1%
Win probability
Numancia U19
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
67.9%
Win probability
Real Madrid U19
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Numancia U19
+27%
-25%
Real Madrid U19

ELO progression

Numancia U19
Real Madrid U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Numancia U19
Numancia U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Apr. 2012
RAY
Rayo Vallecano U19
4 - 3
Numancia U19
NUM
83%
11%
6%
19 36 17 0
01 Apr. 2012
NUM
Numancia U19
1 - 1
Valladolid U19
VAD
30%
24%
46%
19 24 5 0
24 Mar. 2012
NUM
Numancia U19
3 - 0
Unión Adarve U19
UAD
42%
24%
33%
18 19 1 +1
04 Mar. 2012
NUM
Numancia U19
1 - 0
S. Fernando Henares U19
SFH
68%
18%
14%
18 13 5 0
25 Feb. 2012
DIO
CD Diocesano U19
1 - 3
Numancia U19
NUM
72%
17%
12%
17 22 5 +1

Matches

Real Madrid U19
Real Madrid U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Apr. 2012
RMA
Real Madrid U19
6 - 1
Unión Adarve U19
UAD
87%
9%
4%
38 19 19 0
25 Mar. 2012
RMA
Real Madrid U19
7 - 0
S. Fernando Henares U19
SFH
90%
7%
3%
37 12 25 +1
11 Mar. 2012
DIO
CD Diocesano U19
4 - 5
Real Madrid U19
RMA
21%
22%
57%
37 22 15 0
03 Mar. 2012
RMA
Real Madrid U19
4 - 1
Atlético U19
ATM
74%
15%
11%
36 28 8 +1
26 Feb. 2012
GET
Getafe U19
1 - 2
Real Madrid U19
RMA
13%
19%
67%
36 18 18 0