Nueva Concepción vs Malacateco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
AME
1 - 1
NUE
38%
27%
36%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
SPD
2 - 0
NUE
54%
24%
22%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
NUE
3 - 1
IZT
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
COA
0 - 0
NUE
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
NUE
3 - 1
AUR
31%
24%
44%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +3 |
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
TOR
3 - 3
IZT
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
COA
1 - 1
TOR
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
TOR
1 - 0
AUR
53%
23%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
ESC
1 - 0
TOR
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
TOR
2 - 2
MIX
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |