Nueva Concepción vs Quiché analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
SOL
3 - 2
NUE
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
NUE
0 - 1
CHI
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
SPD
2 - 0
NUE
53%
25%
23%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
NUE
1 - 1
SLC
45%
26%
28%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
NUE
3 - 2
VEN
41%
24%
35%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Quiché
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
QUI
4 - 0
REU
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
LEO
1 - 0
QUI
48%
24%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
SOL
1 - 2
QUI
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
QUI
1 - 0
CHI
51%
25%
24%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
SPD
2 - 1
QUI
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |