Nueva Concepción vs Aurora FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
28.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
SPD
2 - 0
NUE
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
NUE
2 - 1
COA
40%
26%
33%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
IZT
2 - 0
NUE
41%
26%
33%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
NUE
3 - 0
LAG
47%
26%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
PUE
0 - 0
NUE
42%
26%
33%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ESC
2 - 1
AUR
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
AUR
0 - 0
SPD
33%
27%
41%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
COA
1 - 1
AUR
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
AUR
2 - 0
IZT
45%
27%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
LAG
2 - 0
AUR
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |