Nueva Concepción vs Achuapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
40.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
AUR
0 - 1
NUE
32%
27%
41%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
QUI
2 - 0
NUE
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
NUE
1 - 0
QUI
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
COM
1 - 2
NUE
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
NUE
2 - 3
COM
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Achuapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
SLC
0 - 2
ACH
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
ACH
0 - 3
IZT
23%
26%
52%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
COM
2 - 1
ACH
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
ACH
1 - 2
ANT
35%
28%
37%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
TOR
1 - 0
ACH
56%
23%
22%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |