Nueva Chicago vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
38.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
BAN
2 - 0
CHI
39%
27%
33%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
CHI
1 - 2
BOC
24%
24%
52%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
CHI
4 - 4
RAC
42%
27%
32%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
EST
0 - 2
CHI
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
CHI
0 - 3
CAU
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
VEL
2 - 2
EST
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2001 |
CAU
0 - 1
VEL
43%
25%
32%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2001 |
VEL
1 - 0
HUR
65%
20%
14%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
TAL
2 - 1
VEL
39%
26%
35%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
VEL
3 - 1
CEN
51%
24%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |