Tercera Playoffs . Semi-finals
Global 2-2
CF La Nucía vs Arandina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF La Nucía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
ACF
1 - 2
NUC
55%
25%
20%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
NUC
2 - 0
UDL
59%
22%
19%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
UDL
1 - 2
NUC
40%
26%
34%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
NUC
0 - 1
VIL
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
ATZ
1 - 0
NUC
26%
27%
47%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Arandina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
ACF
1 - 2
NUC
55%
25%
20%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
ACF
3 - 0
ZAR
49%
25%
26%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
ZAR
2 - 1
ACF
36%
28%
37%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
ACF
1 - 1
AST
53%
24%
24%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
CDB
1 - 0
ACF
11%
20%
69%
|
41 | 17 | 24 | -2 |