Ñublense vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
47.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
DLS
3 - 1
NUB
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
NUB
1 - 4
UCH
30%
27%
44%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
NUB
1 - 2
IQU
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
COB
2 - 0
NUB
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
OHI
1 - 1
NUB
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2011 |
IQU
0 - 0
UCO
33%
25%
42%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
UCO
2 - 1
PAL
59%
23%
19%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
UCO
2 - 1
IQU
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
ACS
3 - 1
UCO
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
UCO
2 - 0
ACS
45%
24%
32%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |