Ñublense vs Palestino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
28.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
9º
16º
10º
39
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 64 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
39 | 53 |
2º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 52 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 50 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 49 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 48 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 44 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 42 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 42 |
9º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 41 |
10º
|
24.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 34 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 34 |
12º
|
26.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 30 |
13º
|
22% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 29 |
14º
|
23.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 28 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 25 |
16º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 1% |
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
2.5% | 60.5% |
|
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
|
21.5% | 37% |
|
Mid-table
|
76% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
NUB
1 - 0
EVE
42%
26%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
LIM
0 - 1
NUB
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
NUB
2 - 2
UCH
41%
26%
34%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2025 |
HUA
2 - 1
NUB
41%
25%
34%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
NUB
2 - 2
HUA
50%
24%
27%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2025 |
PAL
2 - 0
IQU
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
ACS
1 - 1
PAL
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
PAL
1 - 0
UNI
52%
24%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
PAL
0 - 3
BOL
52%
21%
27%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
BOL
3 - 0
PAL
50%
22%
29%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |