Ñublense vs La Serena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
NUB
1 - 0
EVE
47%
24%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
USF
1 - 1
NUB
32%
26%
42%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
NUB
5 - 1
CSD
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
CON
5 - 2
NUB
19%
25%
56%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
IBE
2 - 2
NUB
26%
25%
49%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
EVE
2 - 1
DLS
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
DLS
0 - 0
EVE
25%
25%
50%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2015 |
DEP
3 - 1
DLS
52%
24%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
DLS
4 - 1
DEP
31%
26%
43%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +2 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
DLS
3 - 2
CON
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |