Novorizontino vs Sampaio Correa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.6%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
34.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2022 |
CSA
2 - 1
NOV
62%
23%
16%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 0
SPO
27%
31%
42%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
PPE
0 - 1
NOV
53%
25%
21%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
NOV
2 - 1
ITU
27%
30%
44%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2022 |
NOV
3 - 1
CRB
27%
30%
44%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 1
GUA
33%
29%
38%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
CRZ
2 - 0
SAM
61%
24%
14%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 0
VIL
34%
29%
37%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2022 |
CRB
2 - 1
SAM
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
SAM
1 - 1
OPE
38%
30%
32%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |