Novorizontino vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.9%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
43.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2022 |
NOV
3 - 1
CRB
27%
30%
44%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
CRI
1 - 1
NOV
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 3
CHA
28%
30%
42%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
LON
1 - 1
NOV
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
NOV
55%
26%
19%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ITU
1 - 0
BAH
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 0
ITU
52%
27%
22%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
ITU
3 - 1
VIL
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
ITU
0 - 0
CSA
41%
28%
32%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 1
ITU
38%
30%
33%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |