Novo Hamburgo vs Internacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
60.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
FAR
3 - 2
NOV
15%
20%
65%
|
56 | 30 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2005 |
NOV
1 - 2
FAR
83%
12%
6%
|
56 | 29 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2005 |
SCI
0 - 0
NOV
79%
15%
6%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
NOV
1 - 1
SAN
77%
15%
8%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2005 |
NOV
2 - 1
VER
63%
20%
17%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
SCI
2 - 0
SAN
83%
13%
4%
|
81 | 43 | 38 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2005 |
SCI
2 - 0
CHA
84%
13%
4%
|
81 | 44 | 37 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
SAN
1 - 0
SCI
10%
20%
70%
|
81 | 42 | 39 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2005 |
SCI
0 - 0
NOV
79%
15%
6%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
VER
1 - 0
SCI
11%
20%
68%
|
82 | 48 | 34 | 0 |