Novelda UCF vs Thader analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
50.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda UCF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
NOV
3 - 1
NUD
73%
17%
11%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
NUD
1 - 1
BEN
40%
25%
35%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
RAY
4 - 0
NUD
72%
17%
11%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
NUD
4 - 1
UNI
35%
22%
43%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CRE
1 - 0
NUD
76%
16%
9%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
THD
1 - 2
UNI
79%
13%
7%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
ASP
1 - 1
THD
39%
24%
37%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
THD
1 - 1
MUR
61%
20%
19%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
BFL
1 - 1
THD
36%
24%
41%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
THD
4 - 2
RAV
80%
13%
7%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |