Novelda CF vs UB Conquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
CEP
2 - 3
NOV
57%
24%
20%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
NOV
2 - 1
FIG
36%
28%
36%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
GIM
1 - 2
NOV
54%
26%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
NOV
1 - 1
FIG
32%
28%
40%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
SAB
0 - 3
NOV
61%
24%
16%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
UBC
0 - 1
GAN
31%
29%
40%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
MLL
1 - 2
UBC
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
BUR
5 - 0
UBC
54%
26%
20%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
UBC
1 - 1
BIN
48%
27%
25%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
CLH
1 - 2
UBC
53%
25%
22%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |