Novelda CF vs Torrevieja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
18.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 0
JOV
63%
23%
15%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
PAT
3 - 0
NOV
25%
26%
49%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 0
NOV
79%
14%
7%
|
43 | 65 | 22 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
NOV
3 - 2
UTI
68%
21%
11%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 0
GUA
13%
22%
65%
|
41 | 65 | 24 | +2 |
Matches
Torrevieja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
TOR
2 - 1
PIN
55%
25%
20%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
JOV
1 - 1
TOR
41%
26%
33%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
TOR
0 - 1
VIL
34%
26%
41%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
PAT
0 - 0
TOR
42%
26%
33%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
TOR
0 - 1
ORI
33%
28%
39%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |