Novelda CF vs Aspense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
18%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
ONT
2 - 1
NOV
49%
27%
24%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
NOV
2 - 0
VIL
55%
26%
20%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1985 |
RAY
1 - 0
NOV
53%
25%
22%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1985 |
NOV
1 - 0
VIL
61%
23%
16%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1985 |
ALZ
5 - 0
NOV
81%
14%
5%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
DEN
1 - 1
ASP
36%
29%
35%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
ASP
2 - 2
ONT
68%
20%
12%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1985 |
VIL
2 - 0
ASP
53%
27%
20%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1985 |
ASP
2 - 1
RAY
59%
23%
19%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1985 |
VIL
1 - 0
ASP
42%
28%
30%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -1 |