Novara Sub 19 vs Cesena Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
8.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 2
SPE
75%
15%
9%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
CRE
2 - 3
NOV
60%
22%
19%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
NOV
5 - 3
CRE
22%
22%
56%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +3 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
NOV
2 - 1
VIR
44%
22%
34%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
PRO
2 - 1
NOV
23%
24%
54%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
CES
1 - 1
EMP
23%
23%
54%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
BRE
2 - 1
CES
17%
21%
63%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
CES
1 - 1
SPA
18%
20%
62%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
CRE
2 - 1
CES
86%
10%
5%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
CES
1 - 2
PRO
52%
24%
25%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |