Novara vs US Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ABN
1 - 0
NOV
36%
28%
36%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
NOV
4 - 1
GOZ
77%
16%
7%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
PER
2 - 2
NOV
19%
23%
58%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 1
PON
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
JS2
2 - 2
NOV
42%
26%
31%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
PON
0 - 1
USA
53%
24%
23%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
USA
2 - 1
LEC
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
GER
2 - 1
USA
36%
26%
38%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
USA
0 - 0
PIA
70%
19%
11%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
USA
3 - 3
OLB
69%
19%
12%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | -1 |