Novara vs Trapani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
35%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 0
LAT
58%
24%
19%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
NOV
2 - 1
JUS
72%
18%
10%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
NOV
2 - 0
M05
21%
24%
55%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
NOV
3 - 2
PIA
75%
17%
8%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 5
NOV
5%
13%
82%
|
68 | 23 | 45 | 0 |
Matches
Trapani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
BOL
2 - 0
TRA
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
TRA
3 - 0
SER
87%
10%
3%
|
73 | 37 | 36 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
TRA
1 - 1
PAR
50%
23%
27%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
TRA
2 - 0
USC
79%
15%
7%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
TRA
2 - 4
FER
82%
13%
5%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |