Novara vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
19%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 0
CAR
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
VIR
2 - 1
NOV
32%
28%
40%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
NOV
2 - 0
SPE
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
CTT
2 - 2
NOV
27%
26%
47%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 0
REG
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
TER
1 - 1
VIR
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
JUS
2 - 3
TER
39%
29%
33%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
TER
2 - 0
VAR
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
SPE
2 - 2
TER
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
TER
2 - 2
SIE
22%
27%
51%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |