Novara vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
28.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
NOV
1 - 1
USC
44%
24%
31%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
REG
0 - 0
NOV
54%
26%
20%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
NOV
2 - 2
RAV
37%
25%
38%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2009 |
USC
1 - 0
NOV
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
UNI
2 - 0
NOV
39%
28%
33%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
PRO
2 - 2
USC
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
PRO
3 - 0
VNZ
58%
25%
18%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
PER
2 - 1
PRO
36%
28%
36%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
PRO
2 - 0
UNI
56%
25%
19%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
ASS
1 - 1
PRO
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |