Novara vs Pistoiese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
25.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
ACS
2 - 0
NOV
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
NOV
2 - 3
COM
63%
22%
15%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
GRO
1 - 0
NOV
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
NOV
1 - 0
VIT
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
PIS
2 - 2
NOV
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
PIS
2 - 2
COM
52%
27%
21%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
FRO
1 - 0
PIS
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
PIS
2 - 1
ASL
45%
28%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
ACI
0 - 1
PIS
39%
29%
32%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
PIS
1 - 0
PAV
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |