Novara vs Caronnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 0
NOV
12%
22%
67%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 5
SAN
67%
20%
13%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
VFC
0 - 1
NOV
10%
19%
71%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
NOV
2 - 0
SES
78%
15%
6%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
DER
1 - 1
NOV
14%
22%
64%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Caronnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 0
CHI
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
LAV
1 - 2
CAR
25%
25%
50%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
GOZ
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
DER
1 - 2
CAR
44%
27%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
ACS
0 - 1
CAR
15%
21%
64%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |