Novara vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
30%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
TER
1 - 1
NOV
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
NOV
0 - 1
LEO
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
CES
2 - 2
NOV
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
NOV
2 - 3
SAL
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
PAL
0 - 2
NOV
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 0
PES
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
SAL
2 - 2
BAR
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
BAR
3 - 0
ASC
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2017 |
BRE
2 - 1
BAR
38%
28%
34%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
BAR
4 - 2
CTT
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |