Novara vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
27.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 0
AVE
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
LEO
2 - 1
NOV
35%
28%
38%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 0
ASC
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 0
NOV
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
SPE
1 - 0
NOV
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 0
TRA
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
FRO
3 - 1
BAR
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 1
ACD
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
BRE
1 - 1
BAR
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 4
BEN
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |