Capixaba Fase Final. Quarter-finals
Global 5-1
Nova Venecia vs Desportiva Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
12.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Venecia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
DES
0 - 2
NVE
19%
20%
60%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
NVE
1 - 0
RIO
59%
20%
21%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
REA
0 - 1
NVE
36%
23%
42%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
ATL
2 - 1
NVE
82%
13%
5%
|
53 | 81 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
NVE
1 - 0
DES
67%
19%
15%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Desportiva Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
DES
0 - 2
NVE
19%
20%
60%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
VIT
0 - 2
DES
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
DES
0 - 0
EST
46%
26%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
NVE
1 - 0
DES
67%
19%
15%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
DES
1 - 1
VFC
50%
23%
27%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |